Modelling and scenarios
Climate models and emission scenarios are often produced and used for the purpose of assessing future trajectories of a warming world. Models are representations of certain processes and systems, and help us understand the world around us. They are not perfect representations of the real world, but useful as tool to stimulate the future and to look back at the past. The output from climate models are often used as a source for constructing scenarios. Such scenarios can be used to assess the potential of different forms of climate actions, and the consequences of (in)action. This kind of scenarios are widespread in the development of national climate policy, EU policy, and in the work of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
In Narrating Climate Futures, we explore the potential of climate models and scenarios in telling compelling stories about different futures. We believe that behind each model or scenario is always a story. Therefore, we pay close attention to the way in which models and scenarios interact with narratives, particularly though examining ways of envisioning possible futures in different contexts (e.g. land use scenarios, ecosystem modelling and scenarios of energy futures).